預測大溫房地產走勢2020 Predicted Vancouver Housing Market

預測大溫房地產走勢2020 Predicted Vancouver Housing Market: 2 years ago, a real estate expert has predicted the Vancouver housing market will fall. Now we all know he was right.

Dane Eitel’s new research suggests buyers will have more breathing room for at least two more years, even though overall sales rose in May.

Eitel says: “We’re firmly in the downtrend. May historically is one of the better sales months and this time, we see, basically a $150,000 price decrease based on the last five years of May prices. We’re going lower, longer. By the middle of 2020, average sale prices should be right around $1.4 million for the detached market, signaling a 20 to 24 percent drop. There are some factors that could maybe cause the detached market to go even lower.”

My comments: this is right as you can see, more inventories available in the market that means more competitions for the sellers. 

Eitel predicted that in the middle of 2020, the average single house price around $1.4million, but could even drop to $1.2million as more home sellers than home buyers.

Eitel also mentioned that the condo market will need a more competitive price to attract home buyers to buy. And the condo developers will provide more incentive to attract buyers to make a purchase.

There’s going to be a flood of inventory that comes up that no one’s really anticipating, which is all those investors that bought five and six properties are just going to walk away, simply walk away from their 15 per cent deposit, 20 per cent deposit. There’s going to be an absolute ton of inventory available.

Despite sales climbing, overall buyer demand remains low with the total value of purchases in May dropping almost 23 percent under the ten year average for the month.

溫哥華房地產 – 在大溫哥華地區看到更多的公寓出售。這是兩年前正確預測當地房價會下跌的房地產分析師的最新消息。

Dane Eitel的新研究表明，即使整體銷售額在5月份上升，買家將有更多的喘息空間 – 至少兩年。

“我們現在的房地產市場是在走下坡路，” Eitel接著說。“五月，歷史上是最好的銷售月份之一，而這一次，我們看到，基於5月的價格，基本上降價15萬。我們的房價要走得更低，更長。到2020年中期，獨立市場的平均銷售價格應該在140萬附近徘徊，表明20％至24％。有一些因素可能導致市場分離甚至更低。“

到明年年中，Eitel預測了獨立屋的平均價格將約為140萬，並可能下降低至120萬，因為整體供應量將很快超過來自買家的需求。

也是大概2020， 會有更多的公寓帕文推出市場， 而房東業主爲了賣出這些單位， 唯一的選擇就是以更低的價格去吸引房地產買家。

Eitel還表示，開發商必須提高競爭力。

沒有人真正預料到會出現大量庫存，這就是那些購買了五六處房產的投資者只可以割喉價甩賣了。將有絕對大量的庫存。“

大溫哥華房地產委員會報告稱，5月份有近15,000套房屋在上市銷售，自2014年9月以來，房屋房源數量5年最高。

儘管銷售額攀升，整體買家需求依然低迷，5月份的購買總價值在本月十年平均值下降了近23％。